Tuesday, March 16, 2010

Climate Change and National Security

Here is an interesting interview with Rear Admiral Neil Morisetti, the UK's Special Envoy on Energy and Climate Security, by the National Journal. The UK is exploring the links between climate change and national security. Here's a quote from the interview:

[T]his is an issue that is not going to go away. It's an issue that we need to address, we need to understand more about. We need to develop the capability to monitor and see how this is happening. And we need to take action. And action is a mixture of adaptation to ensure we have the military capabilities in order to deliver the national security, and it is about mitigation and playing our part in the armed forces to reduce the future threat.

The basic premise is the natural link between a shifting climate and the resulting stresses on nations/regions already struggling to cope with existing pressures. Morisetti referenced this in his interview as well.

I would fully support the view that was expressed in the CNA think tank... report in 2007: that it is unlikely that climate change on its is going to start a conflict, but it could be the tipping point or the catalyst of conflict, because you're just heaping more stress on top of people who are already suffering from stress.

The UK isn't alone in its thinking. In addition to CNA, other groups including the Center for New American Security and the Woodrow Wilson Center have done a great deal of work on this front. I highly recommend checking out their reports and analysis.

Also take a look at what the US Quadrennial Defense Review (QDR) says about climate change and the National Intelligence Assessment (NIA) which is focused entirely on climate change. The original NIA is classified but you can access an unclassified version here.

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